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LEAD 1-USA-The croissance to ralenti moins who attended the 4th quarter



* Croissance of 2.6% in rythme annualized

* Consommation slowed down but remained southerly

* The 2018 croissance readily inferred from the Trump 3% objectif (updated with precepts, haussian inscriptions au chômage, commentary and context)

by Lucia Mutikani

WASHINGTON, Feb. 28 (Reuters) – The economy of the Americas, which has been in the fourth quarter, has been trading for more than half of the companies and the investment of the companies, but the croissance sur l'ensemble of the year 2018 was Legibly lower than the 3% target for the Trump administration.

Le produit intérieur brut (GDP) progressed by 2.6% in annual rythme sur les trois derniers mois de l'année après + 3,4% sur les trois mois précédents.

South of the 2018 ensemble, the croissance was 2.9%, the year-end chiffre le plus élevé recorded from 2015, after 2.2% in 2017, a performance that explains among others the 1,500 million dollars of Decisions imposed by the administration Trump et for the increase of the public deferred.

The economists and analysts interviewed by Reuters prevailed in the moyenne une croissance of 2.3% in rythme annualis plus ce consensus avait été établi avant the publication of indexers who led certains to revoir their estimations à la baisse.

"Alors that the majority is part of the comparative analysts in South, a veritable collapse of the American Croissance (…), I have been able to talk to anyone who has been published," said Mirabaud Securities.

"This allowed the president of the Americas to try to ramené the croissance to about 3% for the first annual pleine and a top spot of 14 years."

DES SIGNES OF RALENTISSEMENT

The first months of this year were the Marquis of different signs of slowing down the activity, notably manufacturing, and the decadence of the marché du travail.

On Thursdays, the inscriptions of households are over 2,500 and the number of beneficiaries of allocations is at a higher level than in the month of September 16th.

Ces signs of slowdown are partly due to the progressive dissipation of the impact of the fiscal reform and the persistent commercial tensions between the United States and China.

It is clear that, as a result of the cautious attitude in the evolution of taxes of interest adopted by the Federal Reserve Party, reaffirmed this week at the Congress for the president of the central bank, Jerome Powell.

The publication of the statistics of the GDP was delayed by the shutdown for 35 days between the end of December and the end of a part of the federal administrations, who disturbed the collection and economic benefits traitement.

No explanation is made for the measurements of the consequences of "shutdown", the department of Commerce estimates that he was amputated from a point diary in the fourth quarter. I've added that the chiffres published is "deep south of incomplete or unsupported views".

CONSOMMATION ET INVESTISSEMENT ENCORE DYNAMIQUES

La consommation des menses progressed by 2.8% in rythme annualized in the last quarter of the year after + 3.5% in the third quarter.

The investment of companies afflicts a 6.7% croissance of the quarter, which has slowed down since the first quarter of last year.

Le commerce extérieur to amputée de 0.22 point de pourcentage la croissance du quatrimestre trimestre après avoir réduit de deux points celle from juillet-septembre.

The stocks of the companies increased from 97.1 million dollars (85.4 million euros) to the fourth quarter after having reached 89.8 milliard. Leur évolution représente contributes a positive contribution of 0.13 points to the croissance of october-december, after 2.33 points in July-september.

South left them, he dumped a large part of his business to a refinancing booth after the publication of chiffres et les rendements des empresses d'État américains was aimed at hausses. Wall Street was eBay in Baisse due to attendance.

Tableau:

Lucia Mutikani;
Marc Angrand for the service French
Edited by Wilfrid Exbrayat


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