Saturday , July 2 2022

NBU exchange rate on November 27 – In the background of martial law, the dollar rose


On Tuesday, November 27, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) established the following hryvnia rates for foreign currencies:

1 dollar – 27.9 UAH;
1 euro – 31.7 UAH;
10 rubles – 4.19 UAH.

Thus, compared with securities yesterday, the exchange rate of the dollar, on November 26, the dollar exchange rate was more than 11 cops, up to two weeks. The "green" 28 hryvnia is under the psychological brand, but the martial arts law pressed in Ukraine in the course. Analysts have explained that the dollar grows moderately.

Experts say that the horrible ice is a fall of ice, which is not surprising in this situation. By experts, by default martial law decision It will not lead to dramatic changes in the country's economy. However, boosting inflation and de-isolation processes can be provided, as well as the growth rate of bank interest rates.


Euro co-payments increased by 15 kopecks. Eurocurrency is under 32 hryvnia psychological threshold.

The cost of four rubles in Russia was reduced by four cops.

On Monday, November 26, the dollar exchange rate for the Ukrainian currency market rose to $ 14, and to 15 sales. Thus, the non-cash US division was trading 27.88 / 27.91 (purchase / sale). The value of the euro was 31.65 / 31.68 UAH, which was 17-18 kopek gora. Today's trading has not started yet.

Dollar rate forecasts

According to the Annual Budget Resolution, the average annual rate for the 2018 period is 29.3 UAH / USD in 2019 – 30.5 UAH / USD and by 2020 – 31 UAH / USD. But the budget for 2018 indicates that the calculations were made according to 30.1 UAH / USD. At the same time, the Ministry of the Treasury and the NBU declare that this course is not a forecast, so it should be considered only as a technical indicator for calculating the creation of an "airbag".

Budget Verkhovna Rada, approved in 2019 "set" dollar 29.4 UAH.

It considers the IMF's outlook The average exchange rate for the year 2018 will be 27.07 UAH / USD in 2019, 5.89% will be canceled – up to 28.655 UAH / USD by 2020 – another 4.43%, 29,925 UAH / USD


Government debt management strategy in Ukraine involves strengthening the hryvnia exchange rate 2019 29.4 UAH / USD expected after 30.1 UAH / USD in 2018. In 2020, the exchange rate for Hryvnia is expected to fall to 30.2 UAH / USD.

And the "Economic and Social Economy of Ukraine for 2019-2021", developed by the Ministry of Economic Development, At the end of 2018, the hryvnia exchange rate is expected to drop from 28.1 UAH / USD. 28.5 UAH / USD art (plus or minus 1 UAH), weakening 29.4 UAH / USD after. (plus or 2 UAH less) at the end of 2019. According to the Ministry of Economy and Commerce, the hryvnia devaluates 30.7 UAH / USD. (plus or minus 2 UAH) at the end of 2021.

In the National Bank, it is not talking about a $ 40 dollar course, forbidding a "$ 30.1 UAH quote" for the dollar. At the end of 2018 the dollar forecast was announced.

  • In 2015, the hryvnia was depreciated for a year and a half less, with a 12.9% discount in 2016. In 2017, the currency exchange rate was only reduced by 3%.
  • Historical majority of the official exchange rate of money – UAH 30.01 – arrived in February of 2015. The official euro registration for the Ukraine – 35.66 UAH – arrived on January 26, 2018.
  • According to "Big Mac Index", the Ukrainian dollar would cost 8.9 hryvnia.

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